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Gold's Potential Rise Following the Impending FRS Rate Cut

Published by honor in category Market News on 25.03.2024
Gold price (XAU-GBP)
1,866.06 GBP/oz
  
- GBP30.82
Silver price (XAG-GBP)
21.78 GBP/oz
  
- GBP0.30

Gold has demonstrated its potential response to a forthcoming rate cut by the Federal Reserve System (FRS).

Numerous analysts believe that gold will truly showcase its capabilities once the US central bank initiates its cycle of monetary policy easing.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the rate down to 1.5%

This move positioned the SNB as the first among the major central banks, including the Bank of England, to lower rates.

According to data from the Swiss National Bank (SNB), the inflation rate has consistently stayed below 2% for several months, signalling price stability in the financial system. The SNB forecasts that inflation will not surpass this threshold in the foreseeable future.

Moreover, the central bank has revised its annual inflation forecast downwards. In its initial projection for 2026, the bank anticipated an average inflation rate of 1.1%. Economists at Capital Economics predict that the SNB will reduce interest rates further this year, given the continued low inflationary pressures in the financial market.

The Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) decision to cut interest rates had a profound effect on the gold market. Following this announcement, the price of gold surged, reaching new highs on Thursday.

Take a look at the live gold price here.

Gold prices climbed by 2.06%, maintaining levels close to the session’s peak

While some analysts were taken aback by the SNB’s action, others anticipated such a move. With the Federal Reserve System (FRS) on the verge of reducing rates, the European Central Bank (ECB) had to act preemptively to safeguard its currency and economic growth. Though the comparison may not be exact, several analysts suggest that gold prices could exhibit similar trends against the United States dollar following the FRS’s rate cut.

The Gold Price Potential After FRS Rate Cut

According to Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, gold is poised for a rally in anticipation of a potential rate cut in June. He predicts that government bond yields and the dollar will decline before the Federal Reserve System’s (FRS) June meeting, which is expected to propel bullion prices higher.

Although gold soared to record levels, it ultimately closed the day lower against the dollar, surpassing the $2,220 per ounce mark. A consensus among analysts suggests that gold’s upward trajectory will persist once the Federal Reserve System (FRS) begins reducing rates. Historical data since the 1990s indicates that gold, as a precious metal, typically appreciates by 6% in the 30 days following the initiation of the Federal Reserve’s first rate-cut easing cycle.

The conflict in Ukraine and the Gaza Strip, coupled with worries that escalating wages might reignite inflation, present significant risks. Consequently, the European Union’s central bank is expected to pause its interest rate evaluations for some time, maintaining them at their current levels.

Despite these challenges, the stock market continues to exhibit a bullish trend along with gold. This trend may cause more people to look for safety in their investments, highlighting the increase in investing in gold. Market veterans are increasingly drawing parallels between the current stock market conditions and the dot-com bubble era when evaluating the situation.

Key Takeaways

In conclusion, the anticipation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve System (FRS) has sparked significant interest in the gold market, illustrating the metal’s sensitivity to monetary policy shifts. As the Swiss National Bank (SNB) leads the way with interest rate reductions, reflecting a broader trend towards easing monetary policies, gold’s price surge underscores its role as a safe haven amid economic uncertainty.

Despite the complexities of global conflicts and inflationary pressures, gold’s performance remains a beacon for investors seeking stability in turbulent times. With expert predictions pointing towards further gains following the FRS’s potential rate cut, the allure of gold is set to strengthen.

This scenario, coupled with the stock market’s bullishness despite looming economic challenges, reiterates the timeless value of gold as both a protective asset and a speculative opportunity. As history hints at the metal’s resilience and potential for growth in the aftermath of policy adjustments, gold stands out as a pivotal asset in the evolving landscape of global finance.

Gold price (XAU-GBP)
1,866.06 GBP/oz
  
- GBP30.82
Silver price (XAG-GBP)
21.78 GBP/oz
  
- GBP0.30

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